Dense water formation in the eastern Mediterranean under a global warming scenario

Abstract. Dense water formation in the eastern Mediterranean (EMed) is essential sustaining overturning circulation. Changes sources of dense EMed point to changes circulation and properties Sea. Here we examine with a regional climate system model through 21st century under RCP8.5 emission scenario. Our results show shift dominant source Eastern Deep Water (EMDW) from Adriatic Sea Aegean first half century. The projected reduced by 75 % for Sea, 84 83 Levantine end reduction intensity deep related hydrographic surface intermediate that strengthen vertical stratification, hampering mixing thus convection. Those have an impact on flows Strait Sicily western therefore whole system.